A prehospital risk assessment tool predicts clinical outcomes in hospitalized patients with heat-related illness: a Japanese nationwide prospective observational study.
Journal
Scientific reports
ISSN: 2045-2322
Titre abrégé: Sci Rep
Pays: England
ID NLM: 101563288
Informations de publication
Date de publication:
21 01 2023
21 01 2023
Historique:
received:
27
08
2022
accepted:
19
01
2023
entrez:
21
1
2023
pubmed:
22
1
2023
medline:
25
1
2023
Statut:
epublish
Résumé
We previously developed a risk assessment tool to predict outcomes after heat-related illness (J-ERATO score), which consists of six binary prehospital vital signs. We aimed to evaluate the ability of the score to predict clinical outcomes for hospitalized patients with heat-related illnesses. In a nationwide, prospective, observational study, adult patients hospitalized for heat-related illnesses were registered. A binary logistic regression model and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to assess the relationship between the J-ERATO and survival at hospital discharge as a primary outcome. Among eligible patients, 1244 (93.0%) survived to hospital discharge. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the J-ERATO was an independent predictor for survival to discharge (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.47; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37-0.59) and occurrence of disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) on day 1 (adjusted OR 2.07; 95% CI 1.73-2.49). ROC analyses revealed an optimal J-ERATO cut-off of 5 for prediction of mortality at discharge (area under the curve [AUC] 0.742; 95% CI 0.691-0.787) and DIC development on day 1 (AUC 0.723; 95% CI 0.684-0.758). The J-ERATO obtained before transportation could be helpful in predicting the severity and mortality of hospitalized patients with heat-related illnesses.
Identifiants
pubmed: 36681704
doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-28498-z
pii: 10.1038/s41598-023-28498-z
pmc: PMC9867691
doi:
Types de publication
Observational Study
Journal Article
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Langues
eng
Sous-ensembles de citation
IM
Pagination
1189Informations de copyright
© 2023. The Author(s).
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