Development and Internal Validation of Fatty Liver Prediction Models in Obese Children and Adolescents.

adolescents children cross-sectional study diagnostic techniques and procedures fatty liver obesity

Journal

Journal of clinical medicine
ISSN: 2077-0383
Titre abrégé: J Clin Med
Pays: Switzerland
ID NLM: 101606588

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
02 Apr 2021
Historique:
received: 27 02 2021
revised: 11 03 2021
accepted: 30 03 2021
entrez: 30 4 2021
pubmed: 1 5 2021
medline: 1 5 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

To develop predictive models of fatty liver (FL), we performed a cross-sectional retrospective study of 1672 obese children with a median (interquartile range) age of 15 (13-16) years. The outcome variable was FL diagnosed by ultrasonography. The potential predictors were: (1) binary: sex; (2) continuous: age, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase, gamma-glutamyltransferase, glucose, insulin, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), HDL-cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol, triglycerides, mean arterial pressure, uric acid, and c-reactive protein; (3) ordinal: Pubertal status. Bootstrapped multivariable logistic regression with fractional polynomials was used to develop the models. Two models were developed and internally validated, one using BMI and the other using WC as the anthropometric predictor. Both models included ALT, HOMA-IR, triglycerides, and uric acid as predictors, had similar discrimination (c-statistic = 0.81), and were similarly well calibrated as determined by calibration plots. These models should undergo external validation before being employed in clinical or research practice.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33918271
pii: jcm10071470
doi: 10.3390/jcm10071470
pmc: PMC8038182
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article

Langues

eng

Subventions

Organisme : Istituto Auxologico Italiano
ID : Progetti di ricerca corrente 1C021_2020 "BILOB"

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Auteurs

Giorgio Bedogni (G)

Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Liver Research Center, 34012 Basovizza, Italy.

Sofia Tamini (S)

Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Experimental Laboratory for Auxo-Endocrinological Research, 28824 Verbania, Italy.

Diana Caroli (D)

Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Experimental Laboratory for Auxo-Endocrinological Research, 28824 Verbania, Italy.

Sabrina Cicolini (S)

Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Experimental Laboratory for Auxo-Endocrinological Research, 28824 Verbania, Italy.

Marco Domenicali (M)

Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, 40138 Bologna, Italy.
Internal Medicine, S. Maria delle Croci Hospital, 48121 Ravenna, Italy.

Alessandro Sartorio (A)

Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Experimental Laboratory for Auxo-Endocrinological Research, 28824 Verbania, Italy.
Istituto Auxologico Italiano, IRCCS, Division of Auxology and Metabolic Diseases, 28824 Verbania, Italy.

Classifications MeSH