Falling living standards during the COVID-19 crisis: Quantitative evidence from nine developing countries.


Journal

Science advances
ISSN: 2375-2548
Titre abrégé: Sci Adv
Pays: United States
ID NLM: 101653440

Informations de publication

Date de publication:
02 2021
Historique:
received: 30 07 2020
accepted: 18 12 2020
entrez: 6 2 2021
pubmed: 7 2 2021
medline: 20 2 2021
Statut: epublish

Résumé

Despite numerous journalistic accounts, systematic quantitative evidence on economic conditions during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic remains scarce for most low- and middle-income countries, partly due to limitations of official economic statistics in environments with large informal sectors and subsistence agriculture. We assemble evidence from over 30,000 respondents in 16 original household surveys from nine countries in Africa (Burkina Faso, Ghana, Kenya, Rwanda, Sierra Leone), Asia (Bangladesh, Nepal, Philippines), and Latin America (Colombia). We document declines in employment and income in all settings beginning March 2020. The share of households experiencing an income drop ranges from 8 to 87% (median, 68%). Household coping strategies and government assistance were insufficient to sustain precrisis living standards, resulting in widespread food insecurity and dire economic conditions even 3 months into the crisis. We discuss promising policy responses and speculate about the risk of persistent adverse effects, especially among children and other vulnerable groups.

Identifiants

pubmed: 33547077
pii: 7/6/eabe0997
doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abe0997
pmc: PMC7864564
pii:
doi:

Types de publication

Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

Langues

eng

Sous-ensembles de citation

IM

Subventions

Organisme : NICHD NIH HHS
ID : P2C HD073964
Pays : United States

Informations de copyright

Copyright © 2021 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY).

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Auteurs

Dennis Egger (D)

University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
The World Bank, Washington, D.C., USA.

Edward Miguel (E)

University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.

Shana S Warren (SS)

Innovations for Poverty Action, Washington, D.C., USA.

Ashish Shenoy (A)

University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, USA.

Elliott Collins (E)

Innovations for Poverty Action, Washington, D.C., USA.

Dean Karlan (D)

Innovations for Poverty Action, Washington, D.C., USA.
Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA.

Doug Parkerson (D)

Innovations for Poverty Action, Washington, D.C., USA.

A Mushfiq Mobarak (AM)

Yale University and Y-RISE, New Haven, CT, USA. ahmed.mobarak@yale.edu.
Deakin University, Melbourne, Australia.

Günther Fink (G)

University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.

Christopher Udry (C)

Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA.

Michael Walker (M)

University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.

Johannes Haushofer (J)

Stockholm University, Department of Economics; Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Stockholm, Sweden.
Max Planck Institute for Collective Goods, Bonn, Germany.
Jain Family Institute, New York, USA.

Magdalena Larreboure (M)

Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Busara Center for Behavioral Economics, Nairobi, Kenya.

Susan Athey (S)

Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.

Paula Lopez-Pena (P)

Yale University and Y-RISE, New Haven, CT, USA.

Salim Benhachmi (S)

Yale University and Y-RISE, New Haven, CT, USA.

Macartan Humphreys (M)

WZB Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.

Layna Lowe (L)

University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.

Niccoló F Meriggi (NF)

International Growth Centre, London, UK.

Andrew Wabwire (A)

Vyxer Remit Kenya, Busia, Kenya.

C Austin Davis (CA)

Yale University and Y-RISE, New Haven, CT, USA.
American University, Washington, D.C., USA.

Utz Johann Pape (UJ)

The World Bank, Washington, D.C., USA.
University of Goettingen, Göttingen, Germany.

Tilman Graff (T)

Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.

Maarten Voors (M)

Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands.

Carolyn Nekesa (C)

Vyxer Remit Kenya, Busia, Kenya.

Corey Vernot (C)

Yale University and Y-RISE, New Haven, CT, USA.

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